Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.039080 0.042201 0.045478 0.049180 0.053253 0.057604 0.062612
2025-05-04 0.033918 0.038299 0.043154 0.048955 0.055724 0.063408 0.072839
2025-05-11 0.030472 0.035569 0.041450 0.048781 0.057739 0.068408 0.082196
2025-05-18 0.027856 0.033385 0.039974 0.048478 0.059268 0.072645 0.090707
2025-05-25 0.025876 0.031712 0.038859 0.048362 0.060820 0.076820 0.099286
2025-06-01 0.023980 0.029947 0.037429 0.047634 0.061399 0.079631 0.106138
2025-06-08 0.022276 0.028281 0.035967 0.046687 0.061520 0.081721 0.112032
2025-06-15 0.020976 0.027040 0.034948 0.046214 0.062177 0.084501 0.119029
2025-06-22 0.019846 0.025942 0.034031 0.045783 0.062808 0.087215 0.126070
2025-06-29 0.018681 0.024720 0.032862 0.044895 0.062680 0.088758 0.131381
2025-07-06 0.018092 0.024254 0.032696 0.045407 0.064601 0.093435 0.141935
2025-07-13 0.017395 0.023593 0.032211 0.045404 0.065720 0.096927 0.150832
2025-07-20 0.016909 0.023212 0.032111 0.045976 0.067767 0.102041 0.162952
2025-07-27 0.016221 0.022505 0.031495 0.045721 0.068492 0.105071 0.171772
2025-08-03 0.015610 0.021877 0.030961 0.045551 0.069322 0.108305 0.181215
2025-08-10 0.015016 0.021245 0.030384 0.045270 0.069934 0.111191 0.190260
2025-08-17 0.014508 0.020717 0.029936 0.045162 0.070812 0.114569 0.200511
2025-08-24 0.013897 0.020006 0.029170 0.044492 0.070684 0.116155 0.207440
2025-08-31 0.013278 0.019257 0.028312 0.043620 0.070148 0.116952 0.212864
2025-09-07 0.012798 0.018704 0.027735 0.043184 0.070336 0.119066 0.221114
2025-09-14 0.012356 0.018191 0.027201 0.042786 0.070561 0.121248 0.229692
2025-09-21 0.011849 0.017556 0.026443 0.041968 0.069973 0.121837 0.234933
2025-09-28 0.011641 0.017390 0.026436 0.042440 0.071763 0.127113 0.250833